The Premier League’s top 10 overperforming goal scorers this season including Brighton, Man City, Newcastle and Arsenal stars - gallery
By Matt Pole
Published 10th Mar 2023, 10:43 BST
Updated 10th Mar 2023, 10:51 BST
Which Premier League players are buying their team the most goals due to their clinical finishing?
Expected goals [xG] provides a measure of how many goals a player is expected to have scored based on their shots.
By subtracting a players xG from their goals, we can see which are excelling at finishing and scoring from chances that an average player simply would not.
Here are the Premier League’s top 10 overperforming goal scorers this season, according to BetVictor.
The players analysed for this study had a minimum of 900 minutes played and four goals scored in the 2022/23 season.
Here are the Premier League’s top 10 overperforming goal scorers this season, according to BetVictor.
5. Gabriel Martinelli - Arsenal
Gabriel Martinelli has netted 11 goals for Arsenal in the Premier League with an xG of 6.7. That's an overperformance of 4.3 goals Photo: Julian Finney/Getty Images
6. Harry Kane - Tottenham Hotspur
Harry Kane has taken the most shots of any player with 89, followed by Manchester City's Erling Haaland (81), and Liverpool's Mo Salah (78). The Tottenham Hotspur forward has 18 Premier League goals this season with an xG of 13.8. That is 4.2 goals more than expected Photo: ADRIAN DENNIS/AFP via Getty Images
7. Miguel Almirón - Newcastle United
Newcastle United's Miguel Almirón has 10 goals this season with an xG of six - an overperformance of four goals Photo: George Wood/Getty Images
8. Marcus Rashford - Manchester United
Marcus Rashford’s sensational return to form has seen him take the fourth most shots on target this season with 31 – only Manchester City's Erling Haaland (39), Tottenham Hotspur's Harry Kane (37), and Liverpool's Mo Salah (32) are ahead. The Manchester United star has netted 14 Premier League goals with an xG of 10.3. This is an overperformance of 3.7 goals Photo: Richard Heathcote/Getty Images